InsiderAdvantage/FOX 5 Atlanta Poll: Kemp Enjoys Comfortable Lead as Early Voting Commences

IAG Staff

Thursday, May 5th, 2022

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The latest InsiderAdvantage/Fox5 survey of 750 likely voters in the upcoming Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary shows Gov. Brian Kemp with a comfortable lead over U.S. Sen. David Perdue. The poll has a margin of error of 3.6% and was conducted April 28-May 1.  Crosstabs can be found HERE. The results:

  • Brian Kemp: 54%

  • David Perdue: 38%

  • Kandiss Taylor: 4 %

  • Catherine Davis: 1%

  • Tom Williams: 1%

  • Undecided/No Opinion: 2%

InsiderAdvantage Chairman Matt Towery says:

“This survey was conducted up to and including the night of the most recent Atlanta Press Club debate. Given that the debate had all the excitement of a tax audit, it is extremely unlikely that it impacted numbers in any meaningful way.

“Gov. Brian Kemp, who had his best debate performance of the three televised contests, leads in our survey by a comfortable margin. Former U.S. Sen. David Perdue gained three points since our last survey in early March, while Kemp climbed an impressive eight percentage points since the last survey.

“Our poll does show a more reasonable spread and a slightly closer contest than other recent public polls conducted

for this contest. However, indications are that voter turnout will be less than robust, and turnout in Georgia gubernatorial contests always requires a much tighter screen in polls to determine who truly is likely to vote. If the election were held today, we feel confident that Kemp would win.

“Perdue has been badly outspent.That shows in a question we asked as to how enthusiastic voters are about their choice. Fifty-five percent of those who chose Kemp were enthusiastic about their choice. Thirty-seven percent who said they were voting for Perdue said they were enthusiastic about voting for him.

“However, enthusiasm still exists for former President Donald Trump. Trump’s favorable rating among respondents was close to 80 percent. So far, his popularity has not been enough to push Kemp into a runoff.

Absent a full court press focusing on issues that propelled the Youngkin gubernatorial race in Virginia— crime, ‘school indoctrination’ or some last-minute unexpected issue– Perdue will be hard pressed to force this race into a runoff. His resources are too thin, and the messaging has not moved enough voters as of the start of early voting.”