Economy Remains Top Priority for Next President

Frank Newport

Friday, June 17th, 2016

Americans mention the economy more than any other concern when asked what single issue the next president should focus on when he or she takes office next January. They also frequently mention immigration, healthcare, defense and national security, and education as top priorities.

Regardless of who wins the election, what single issue or challenge are you most interested in having the next president address when he or she takes office next January? [OPEN-ENDED]

 

May 18-22, 2016

 

%

The economy

19

Immigration

14

Healthcare/Healthcare costs/Healthcare reform

10

Defense/National Defense/Homeland security

9

Education

8

The federal deficit/The budget

7

Wages/Earning a decent wage/Decline of middle class

6

Jobs/Unemployment

6

Terrorism

5

Foreign policy/affairs

4

Big government/Government invasion of privacy

4

Race relations/Equal rights

3

Restoring respect to the office of president

3

Taxes

2

Poverty/The poor/Homelessness

2

The environment/Pollution

2

Gun control

2

Uniting Americans

2

Moral issues/Ethics/Religion

2

Nothing

3

No opinion

4

Note: Responses with at least 2% mentions are shown.

Gallup

These latest data are from Gallup's May 18-22 election benchmark survey. Americans' responses to this open-ended question are similar to those measured in January, showing that the issues on which the public wants the next president to focus haven't changed after five additional months of intense campaigning and issue discussion in the string of debates held during that time.

The next president, if intent on following the will of the people, will clearly need to keep a sustained focus on economic issues. Not only do Americans spontaneously mention the economy more often than any other issue, but they also name several other economically related priorities, including the federal deficit, wages and the decline of the middle class, jobs/unemployment, taxes and poverty.

The next president will at the same time face the challenge of responding to other public concerns, including the perennial challenge of keeping the nation safe and secure, immigration, healthcare and education.

Economy Also Ranks as Issue Most Important to Vote

A separate question included in the May poll asked Americans to rate the importance of each of 17 specific issues in determining their vote for president, on a scale from extremely important to not important. The economy tops this list too, with more than nine in 10 Americans ranking it as extremely or very important, followed by employment and jobs, terrorism and national security, education and healthcare.

Now I am going to read a list of some of the issues that will probably be discussed in this year's presidential election campaign. As I read each one, please tell me how important the candidates' positions on that issue will be in influencing your vote for president -- extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not important.

 

Extremely/Very important

 

%

The economy

92

Employment and jobs

89

Terrorism and national security

87

Education

86

Healthcare and the Affordable Care Act

83

The federal budget deficit

78

Foreign affairs

74

Taxes

71

Immigration

69

The treatment of minority groups in this country

66

The distribution of income and wealth in the United States

65

The size and efficiency of the federal government

64

Gun policy

63

Trade with other nations

61

Government regulation of Wall Street and banks

59

Social issues such as gay marriage and abortion

48

Climate change

47

Gallup, May 18-22, 2016

The general rank-order of issues on this list is broadly similar to the responses to the open-ended question.

One exception is immigration, which is lower on the list when Americans evaluate its importance to their vote than it is when they offer top-of-mind responses about the issue they most want the next president to address. This could suggest that immigration is of high importance to a segment of the population, for whom it comes to mind immediately, but that it is of relatively low importance to the public at large.

Implications

The presidential candidates and, in turn, the next president of the United States, would be well-advised to keep a strong focus on the economy, which -- although not the dominant issue it has been in previous elections -- is clearly a common concern.

Americans also want their next president to focus on several fundamental issues: immigration, defense and national security, healthcare and education.

Although education is not solely or even the primary responsibility of the federal government, massive government initiatives such as No Child Left Behind and its recent successor law Every Student Succeeds have made it a clear target for federal intervention. Additionally, candidates in this election cycle have been called on to discuss their positions on the Common Core curriculum, and several have advocated major federal involvement in helping ensure that every child has pre-K education. Additionally, Sanders and Clinton have put forth proposals that in various ways call for lowered or free tuition at public colleges and community colleges.

Healthcare has become an even more important federal government focus in recent years with the 2010 passage of the Affordable Care Act, one of the most significant interventions of the federal government into the healthcare arena since Medicare. All candidates have taken positions on what should happen to the ACA, with Sanders proposing to replace it with a single-payer "Medicare for all" system, Trump proposing to repeal it, and Clinton advocating keeping it in place, albeit it with tweaks.

Notably, Americans appear to have low priorities for other issues that have been discussed on the campaign trail and in the debates, including gay marriage, abortion, climate change, foreign trade and Supreme Court nominations. The low priority for foreign trade as a presidential issue could obscure "hidden" concerns about trade in Americans' mentions of the economy and jobs.

From http://www.gallup.com/poll/191960/economy-remains-top-priority-next-president.aspx?utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_content=morelink&utm_campaign=syndication