National Credit Default Rates Decreased in January

Press release from the issuing company

Wednesday, February 19th, 2014

Data through January 2014, released today by S&P Dow Jones Indices and Experian for the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices, a comprehensive measure of changes in consumer credit defaults, showed decline in national default rates during the month. The national composite posted 1.34% in January, a marginal decline from 1.35% in December. The first mortgage default rate was 1.26% in January, slightly down from 1.27% last month. The second mortgage posted 0.72% in January, down from 0.76% in December. The auto loan default rate was 1.11% in January, down from 1.12% in the previous month. The bank card rate rose to 2.99%, slightly higher than its historical low of 2.97% set in October 2013.

"The severe weather conditions afflicting the country impacted economic activity," says David M. Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee for S&P Dow Jones Indices.  Retail sales were down and the labor market conditions were mixed in January data. Overall economic activity  is still subpar. Against this background, consumer default rates have stabilized at levels similar to those seen before the financial crisis.

"All the month to month changes were small. Two out of the five cities saw default rate decreases. Chicago's rate increased the most; it posted 1.75%, 13 basis points higher than last month's level. New York also saw its default rate increase; it posted 1.49%, 11 basis points higher than December's level. Los Angeles posted 1.07%, the same as last month and its lowest default rate since July 2006. Miami maintained the highest default rate and Los Angeles had the lowest.  All cities – Chicago, Dallas, Los Angeles, Miami and New York remain below default rates posted a year ago, inJanuary 2013."

The table below summarizes the January 2014 results for the S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices. These data are not seasonally adjusted and are not subject to revision.

S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices
National Indices

Index

January 2014 
Index Level

December 2013 
Index Level

January 2013 
Index Level

Composite

1.34

1.35

1.63

First Mortgage 

1.26

1.27

1.58

Second Mortgage 

0.72

0.76

0.69

Bank Cards 

2.99

2.98

3.41

Auto Loans 

1.11

1.12

1.10

Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices
Data through January 2014

The table below provides the S&P/Experian Consumer Default Composite Indices for the five MSAs:

Metropolitan 
Statistical Area

January 2014 
Index Level

December 2013 
Index Level

January 2013 
Index Level

New York

1.49

1.38

1.53

Chicago

1.75

1.62

2.07

Dallas

1.14

1.27

1.19

Los Angeles

1.07

1.07

1.81

Miami

2.61

2.74

3.45

Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices
Data through January 2014